Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.049222 0.057513 0.066755 0.077819 0.090705 0.105241 0.122887
2025-10-19 0.036054 0.046754 0.059951 0.077420 0.099943 0.128017 0.165703
2025-10-26 0.028893 0.040595 0.056195 0.078504 0.109599 0.151442 0.212110
2025-11-02 0.024535 0.036822 0.054282 0.080887 0.120424 0.177071 0.264559
2025-11-09 0.020072 0.031895 0.049651 0.078236 0.123134 0.191044 0.301813
2025-11-16 0.017234 0.028816 0.047089 0.077980 0.128951 0.209855 0.348381
2025-11-23 0.014898 0.026095 0.044570 0.077227 0.133586 0.227052 0.394312
2025-11-30 0.013401 0.024498 0.043584 0.078737 0.141963 0.251135 0.454610
2025-12-07 0.011792 0.022441 0.041478 0.077917 0.146043 0.268203 0.504711
2025-12-14 0.010263 0.020285 0.038870 0.075760 0.147295 0.280217 0.546957
2025-12-21 0.008964 0.018366 0.036419 0.073510 0.147966 0.291069 0.588169
2025-12-28 0.008279 0.017554 0.035954 0.075018 0.156049 0.316844 0.661594
2026-01-04 0.007544 0.016548 0.035009 0.075499 0.162282 0.340064 0.733656
2026-01-11 0.006867 0.015571 0.033996 0.075710 0.168000 0.363003 0.808381
2026-01-18 0.006355 0.014876 0.033478 0.076896 0.175942 0.391535 0.898914
2026-01-25 0.005988 0.014456 0.033495 0.079259 0.186770 0.427581 1.010869
2026-02-01 0.005307 0.013201 0.031471 0.076666 0.185936 0.437617 1.064621
2026-02-08 0.004861 0.012448 0.030502 0.076416 0.190541 0.460571 1.151763
2026-02-15 0.004435 0.011681 0.029396 0.075679 0.193855 0.480868 1.235109
2026-02-22 0.004177 0.011305 0.029194 0.077158 0.202848 0.515894 1.359677
2026-03-01 0.003825 0.010631 0.028156 0.076355 0.205910 0.536640 1.450506
2026-03-08 0.003446 0.009833 0.026696 0.074241 0.205261 0.547900 1.517966
2026-03-15 0.003104 0.009087 0.025272 0.072035 0.204069 0.557598 1.582535